Bio
Curriculum Vitae
My research is interdisciplinary in nature, with a focus on behavioral economics, cultural economics, political economy and human-AI interaction. Methodologically, my work relies on a combination of experiments, multinational surveys, formal theory, and machine learning.
I’m a recipient of a 2021 Alfred P. Sloan Research Fellowship and of the 2017 Distinguished CESifo Affiliate Award, and gave the Zeuthen Lectures at the University of Copenhagen in 2025.
Below is a chronological list of publications and current working papers. The following tabs offer an overview of my work.
Papers on bounded rationality in consumer and market behavior
- Reference Points as Information (with Mark Dean, Thomas Graeber and Pietro Ortoleva). Working paper, 2026.
- The Cognitive Economics of Agentic AI (with Thomas Graeber). Working paper, 2026.
- Comparisons (with Thomas Graeber). Working paper, 2026.
- A Note on 'When Are Decisions Improvable? An Evaluation of Diagnostic Methods' (with Thomas Graeber). Working paper, 2026.
- Quantifying Lottery Choice Complexity (with Cassidy Shubatt). Revise and resubmit, Econometrica, 2026.
- Behavioral Attenuation (with Thomas Graeber, Ryan Oprea and Jeffrey Yang). Forthcoming, Journal of Political Economy.
- Capturing the Complexity of Human Strategic Decision-Making with Machine Learning (with Jian-Qiao Zhu, Joshua Peterson and Thomas Griffiths). Nature Human Behaviour, 2025.
- Complexity and Time (with Thomas Graeber and Ryan Oprea). Journal of the European Economic Association, 2025.
- Associative Memory, Beliefs and Market Interactions (with Frederik Schwerter and Florian Zimmermann). Journal of Financial Economics, 2024.
- Cognitive Uncertainty (with Thomas Graeber). Quarterly Journal of Economics, 2023.
- Cognitive Biases: Mistakes or Missing Stakes? (with Uri Gneezy, Brian Hall, David Martin, Vadim Nelidov, Theo Offerman, and Jeroen van de Ven). Review of Economics and Statistics, 2023.
- Confidence, Self-Selection and Bias in the Aggregate (with Thomas Graeber and Ryan Oprea). American Economic Review, 2023.
- Confidence and Central Tendency in Perceptual Judgment (with Yang Xiang, Thomas Graeber, and Samuel Gershman). Attention, Perception & Psychophysics, 2021.
- What You See Is All There Is. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 2020.
- Correlation Neglect in Belief Formation (with Florian Zimmermann). Review of Economic Studies, 2019.
- The Precision of Subjective Data and the Explanatory Power of Economic Models (with Tilman Drerup and Hans-Martin von Gaudecker). Journal of Econometrics, 2017.
Papers on morality and culture
- Market Prices as a Moral Currency. Working paper, 2026.
- Herding, Armed Conflict, and a Culture of Honor: Global Evidence (with Yiming Cao, Armin Falk, Paola Giuliano and Nathan Nunn). Conditionally accepted, American Economic Review.
- Handbook of Culture and Economic Behavior (Co-edited with Paola Giuliano, Nathan Nunn and Leonard Wantchekon). Elsevier Handbooks in Economics, 2026-2027.
- Values as Luxury Goods and Political Behavior (with Mattias Polborn and Alex Wu). Journal of the European Economic Association, 2025.
- Universalism: Global Evidence (with Alexander Cappelen and Bertil Tungodden). American Economic Review, 2025.
- Universalism and Political Representation: Evidence from the Field (with Raymond Fisman, Luis Mota Freitas and Steven Sun). American Economic Review: Insights, 2024.
- Moral Boundaries. Annual Review of Economics, 2024.
- 'Morality and Political Economy' from the Vantage Point of Economics. PNAS Nexus, 2024.
- Moral Universalism and the Structure of Ideology (with Ricardo Rodriguez-Padilla and Florian Zimmermann). Review of Economic Studies, 2023.
- Market Exposure and Human Morality. Nature Human Behaviour, 2023.
- Patience and Comparative Development (with Uwe Sunde, Thomas Dohmen, Armin Falk, David Huffman, and Gerrit Meyerheim). Review of Economic Studies, 2022.
- Moral Universalism: Measurement and Economic Relevance (with Ricardo Rodriguez-Padilla and Florian Zimmermann). Management Science, 2022.
- Moral Values and Voting. Journal of Political Economy, 2020.
- Ancient Origins of the Global Variation in Economic Preferences (with Anke Becker and Armin Falk). AEA Papers & Proceedings, 2020.
- Kinship, Cooperation, and the Evolution of Moral Systems. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 2019.
- Global Evidence on Economic Preferences (with Armin Falk, Anke Becker, Thomas Dohmen, David Huffman, and Uwe Sunde). Quarterly Journal of Economics, 2018.
Papers in management and interdisciplinary outlets
- Capturing the Complexity of Human Strategic Decision-Making with Machine Learning (with Jian-Qiao Zhu, Joshua Peterson and Thomas Griffiths). Nature Human Behaviour, 2025.
- Trust in Scientists and Their Role in Society Across 68 Countries (with a many-labs team led by Viktoria Cologna and Niels Mede). Nature Human Behaviour, 2025.
- Associative Memory, Beliefs and Market Interactions (with Frederik Schwerter and Florian Zimmermann). Journal of Financial Economics, 2024.
- 'Morality and Political Economy' from the Vantage Point of Economics. PNAS Nexus, 2024.
- Market Exposure and Human Morality. Nature Human Behaviour, 2023.
- Moral Universalism: Measurement and Economic Relevance (with Ricardo Rodriguez-Padilla and Florian Zimmermann). Management Science, 2022.
- Confidence and Central Tendency in Perceptual Judgment (with Yang Xiang, Thomas Graeber, and Samuel Gershman). Attention, Perception & Psychophysics, 2021.
My teaching (current and past) includes Experimental Economics, Behavioral Economics, Cognitive Economics, and a course on Economics and Morality that I developed a few years ago.
Students can sign up for office hours here.
Working Papers
Market Prices as a Moral Currency
[PDF]
Reference Points as Information
(with Mark Dean, Thomas Graeber and Pietro Ortoleva)
[PDF]
The Cognitive Economics of Agentic AI
(with Thomas Graeber)
Comparisons
(with Thomas Graeber)
[PDF]
A Note on 'When Are Decisions Improvable? An Evaluation of Diagnostic Methods'
(with Thomas Graeber)
[PDF]
Quantifying Lottery Choice Complexity
(with Cassidy Shubatt)
Revise and resubmit,
Econometrica
.
[PDF]
[Code]
Reviews and Perspectives
Handbook of Culture and Economic Behavior
(Co-edited with Paola Giuliano, Nathan Nunn and Leonard Wantchekon)
Elsevier Handbooks in Economics
, 2026-2027.
[Volume 1]
Moral Boundaries
Annual Review of Economics
, 2024, vol. 16 (1), pp. 133-157.
[PDF]
'Morality and Political Economy' from the Vantage Point of Economics
PNAS Nexus
, 2024, vol. 3 (10).
[PDF]
Publications and Accepted Papers
Behavioral Attenuation
(with Thomas Graeber, Ryan Oprea and Jeffrey Yang)
Forthcoming,
Journal of Political Economy
.
[PDF]
Herding, Armed Conflict, and a Culture of Honor: Global Evidence
(with Yiming Cao, Armin Falk, Paola Giuliano and Nathan Nunn)
Conditionally accepted,
American Economic Review
.
[PDF]
Capturing the Complexity of Human Strategic Decision-Making with Machine Learning
(with Jian-Qiao Zhu, Joshua Peterson and Thomas Griffiths)
Nature Human Behaviour
, 2025, vol. 9 (10), pp. 2114-2120.
[PDF]
[Data on 2,400 strategic two-player games]
Complexity and Time
(with Thomas Graeber and Ryan Oprea)
Journal of the European Economic Association
, 2025, vol. 23 (5), pp. 1838–1867.
[PDF]
Values as Luxury Goods and Political Behavior
(with Mattias Polborn and Alex Wu)
Journal of the European Economic Association
, 2025, vol. 23 (5), pp. 1635–1668.
[PDF]
Universalism: Global Evidence
(with Alexander Cappelen and Bertil Tungodden)
American Economic Review
, 2025, vol. 115 (1), pp. 43-76.
[PDF]
Trust in Scientists and Their Role in Society Across 68 Countries
(with a many-labs team led by Viktoria Cologna and Niels Mede)
Nature Human Behaviour
, 2025, vol. 9 (1), pp. 713-720.
[PDF]
Universalism and Political Representation: Evidence from the Field
(with Raymond Fisman, Luis Mota Freitas and Steven Sun)
American Economic Review: Insights
, 2024, vol. 6 (2), pp. 214-229.
[PDF]
Associative Memory, Beliefs and Market Interactions
(with Frederik Schwerter and Florian Zimmermann)
Journal of Financial Economics
, 2024, vol. (157), 103853.
[PDF]
Cognitive Uncertainty
(with Thomas Graeber)
Quarterly Journal of Economics
, 2023, vol. 138 (4), pp. 2021-2067 (Lead Article).
[PDF]
[VOX]
[UNDP column]
Moral Universalism and the Structure of Ideology
(with Ricardo Rodriguez-Padilla and Florian Zimmermann)
Review of Economic Studies
, 2023, vol. 90 (4), pp. 1934-1962.
[PDF]
[econimate video]
Cognitive Biases: Mistakes or Missing Stakes?
(with Uri Gneezy, Brian Hall, David Martin, Vadim Nelidov, Theo Offerman, and Jeroen van de Ven)
Review of Economics and Statistics
, 2023, vol. 105 (4), pp. 818-832.
[PDF]
Confidence, Self-Selection and Bias in the Aggregate
(with Thomas Graeber and Ryan Oprea)
American Economic Review
, 2023, vol. 113 (7), pp. 1933-1966.
[PDF]
Market Exposure and Human Morality
Nature Human Behaviour
, 2023, vol. 7 (1), pp. 134-141.
[PDF]
Patience and Comparative Development
(with Uwe Sunde, Thomas Dohmen, Armin Falk, David Huffman, and Gerrit Meyerheim)
Review of Economic Studies
, 2022, vol. 89(10), pp. 2806–2840.
[PDF]
Moral Universalism: Measurement and Economic Relevance
(with Ricardo Rodriguez-Padilla and Florian Zimmermann)
Management Science
, 2022, vol. 68(5), pp. 3590-3603.
[PDF]
[Qualtrics files]
Confidence and Central Tendency in Perceptual Judgment
(with Yang Xiang, Thomas Graeber, and Samuel Gershman)
Attention, Perception & Psychophysics
, 2021, 83, pp. 3024-3034.
[PDF]
Moral Values and Voting
Journal of Political Economy
, 2020, vol. 128(10), pp. 3679-3729 (Lead Article).
[PDF]
[microeconomic insights]
What You See Is All There Is
Quarterly Journal of Economics
, 2020, vol. 135(3), pp. 1363-1398.
[PDF]
[Version 09/2017]
Ancient Origins of the Global Variation in Economic Preferences
(with Anke Becker and Armin Falk)
AEA Papers & Proceedings
, 2020, vol. 110, pp. 319-323.
[PDF]
Kinship, Cooperation, and the Evolution of Moral Systems
Quarterly Journal of Economics
, 2019, vol. 134(2), pp. 953-1019.
[PDF]
[VOX]
[CESifo Award]
Correlation Neglect in Belief Formation
(with Florian Zimmermann)
Review of Economic Studies
, 2019, vol. 86(1), pp. 313-332.
[PDF]
Global Evidence on Economic Preferences
(with Armin Falk, Anke Becker, Thomas Dohmen, David Huffman, and Uwe Sunde)
Quarterly Journal of Economics
, 2018, vol. 133(4), pp. 1645-1692 (Lead Article).
[PDF]
[GPS website]
The Precision of Subjective Data and the Explanatory Power of Economic Models
(with Tilman Drerup and Hans-Martin von Gaudecker)
Journal of Econometrics
, 2017, vol. 200(2), pp. 378-389.
[PDF]